{ "total_requests": 15617, "total_paid_calls": 15617, "total_usd_earned": 113.123, "unique_payers": 151, "excluded_own_test_buys": { "usd": 2.852, "calls": 141, "note": "Kronos test-buys its own paid routes to verify settlement. These are real settlements but not customer demand, so they are excluded from total_usd_earned and unique_payers above and reported here instead." }, "forecasts_served": 162078, "accuracy": { "scored": 56745, "hit_rate": 0.5135, "in_range_rate": 0.6169, "note": "56745 cache forecasts scored (source: cache — large-sample, repeatable figure customers actually receive)", "paid_accuracy": { "scored": 442, "hit_rate": 0.5045, "note": "n=442 — small sample, not statistically meaningful; excluded from headline" }, "internal_backtest": { "scored": 41758, "hit_rate": 0.4971, "label": "internal model runs, not sold — for R&D only, not customer-facing performance", "warning": "Do NOT use this number as a proxy for served accuracy. These rows were never offered to customers." }, "beta_accuracy": { "scored": 74671, "hit_rate": 0.5046, "in_range_rate": 0.7531, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "BNB-USD", "scored": 18003, "hit_rate": 0.504, "in_range_rate": 0.5011 }, { "asset": "DOGE-USD", "scored": 17671, "hit_rate": 0.5325, "in_range_rate": 0.9702 }, { "asset": "NEAR-USD", "scored": 15910, "hit_rate": 0.495, "in_range_rate": 0.5997 }, { "asset": "ADA-USD", "scored": 14150, "hit_rate": 0.4923, "in_range_rate": 0.8636 }, { "asset": "XRP-USD", "scored": 2131, "hit_rate": 0.4965, "in_range_rate": 0.9348 }, { "asset": "DOT-USD", "scored": 886, "hit_rate": 0.5079, "in_range_rate": 0.9526 }, { "asset": "LINK-USD", "scored": 886, "hit_rate": 0.4898, "in_range_rate": 0.9041 }, { "asset": "LTC-USD", "scored": 885, "hit_rate": 0.4972, "in_range_rate": 0.8915 }, { "asset": "TRX-USD", "scored": 884, "hit_rate": 0.4649, "in_range_rate": 0.9932 }, { "asset": "AVAX-USD", "scored": 882, "hit_rate": 0.4615, "in_range_rate": 0.8968 }, { "asset": "ATOM-USD", "scored": 795, "hit_rate": 0.5006, "in_range_rate": 0.922 }, { "asset": "BCH-USD", "scored": 795, "hit_rate": 0.4742, "in_range_rate": 0.9006 }, { "asset": "APT-USD", "scored": 793, "hit_rate": 0.4805, "in_range_rate": 0.966 } ], "note": "74671 forecasts scored across non-core assets, using whichever model each asset is currently served by (composite for legacy beta assets e.g. XRP; Kronos-base family for graduated assets DOGE/BNB since 2026-07-10, NEAR since 2026-07-15, and ADA since 2026-07-20 — disclosed together as one family). Preliminary.", "disclaimer": "Non-core asset accuracy under the model CURRENTLY serving each asset (e.g. XRP composite-model beta; DOGE/BNB Kronos-base ML since the 2026-07-10 graduation, NEAR since the 2026-07-15 graduation, ADA since the 2026-07-20 graduation). Includes internal shadow-scoring rows alongside served rows; small samples for some assets. NOT the headline figure and NOT a sold-performance guarantee. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice." }, "prior_composite_accuracy": { "scored": 4239, "hit_rate": 0.4914, "in_range_rate": 0.9413, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "DOGE-USD", "scored": 2120, "hit_rate": 0.5132, "in_range_rate": 0.9929 }, { "asset": "BNB-USD", "scored": 2119, "hit_rate": 0.4696, "in_range_rate": 0.8896 } ], "note": "4239 composite-model forecasts scored for DOGE/BNB prior to the 2026-07-10 Kronos-base graduation. Frozen historical record — these assets no longer generate rows under this model_version.", "disclaimer": "Prior serving model (composite heuristic) for DOGE/BNB before the 2026-07-10 graduation to the Kronos-base model family. Retained for transparency; no longer the model actually serving these endpoints today. Not financial advice." }, "disclosure": "Headline hit_rate is based on cache-served forecasts only (large-sample, repeatable). This model is early-stage; sample sizes are thin — treat all percentages as preliminary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice." }, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "ETH-USD", "scored": 18930, "hit_rate": 0.5217, "in_range_rate": 0.6068 }, { "asset": "SOL-USD", "scored": 18921, "hit_rate": 0.4908, "in_range_rate": 0.5916 }, { "asset": "BTC-USD", "scored": 18894, "hit_rate": 0.5282, "in_range_rate": 0.6523 } ], "calibration": { "buckets": [ { "bucket": "[0–0.2]", "predicted_avg": 0.0923, "actual_up_rate": 0.51, "n": 37266 }, { "bucket": "(0.2–0.4]", "predicted_avg": 0.3069, "actual_up_rate": 0.5343, "n": 26676 }, { "bucket": "(0.4–0.6]", "predicted_avg": 0.5067, "actual_up_rate": 0.5651, "n": 24718 }, { "bucket": "(0.6–0.8]", "predicted_avg": 0.7027, "actual_up_rate": 0.5679, "n": 20513 }, { "bucket": "(0.8–1]", "predicted_avg": 0.89, "actual_up_rate": 0.5718, "n": 10384 } ], "warnings": [ "Calibration bucket [0–0.2]: model predicted down (avg=0.0923) but majority of actual outcomes were up (rate=0.51, n=37266) — INVERTED direction", "Calibration bucket (0.2–0.4]: model predicted down (avg=0.3069) but majority of actual outcomes were up (rate=0.5343, n=26676) — INVERTED direction" ], "note": "based on 119557 served forecasts (source: cache or paid); check bucket n values before drawing conclusions" }, "service": { "name": "Kronos Crypto Data API", "asset": "17-asset data coverage (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB/XRP/DOGE/ADA/AVAX/LINK/DOT/LTC/TRX/BCH/ATOM/NEAR/APT/HYPE); ML forecasts for BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD", "price_usd": { "forecast": 0.05, "signals": 0.02 }, "network": "eip155:8453", "payTo": "0x36038e1d712c5e39f35952164ec58ec2b96caee7" }, "generated_at": "2026-09-30T15:48:34.746Z", "disclaimer": "Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Informational only, not financial advice." }