{ "total_requests": 15939, "total_paid_calls": 15939, "total_usd_earned": 122.043, "unique_payers": 181, "excluded_own_test_buys": { "usd": 3.242, "calls": 155, "note": "Kronos test-buys its own paid routes to verify settlement. These are real settlements but not customer demand, so they are excluded from total_usd_earned and unique_payers above and reported here instead." }, "forecasts_served": 215891, "accuracy": { "scored": 86389, "hit_rate": 0.5158, "in_range_rate": 0.6057, "note": "86389 cache forecasts scored (source: cache — large-sample, repeatable figure customers actually receive)", "paid_accuracy": { "scored": 512, "hit_rate": 0.4727, "note": "n=512 — small sample, not statistically meaningful; excluded from headline" }, "internal_backtest": { "scored": 52712, "hit_rate": 0.4939, "label": "internal model runs, not sold — for R&D only, not customer-facing performance", "warning": "Do NOT use this number as a proxy for served accuracy. These rows were never offered to customers." }, "beta_accuracy": { "scored": 94655, "hit_rate": 0.5051, "in_range_rate": 0.7493, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "BNB-USD", "scored": 22390, "hit_rate": 0.5037, "in_range_rate": 0.4972 }, { "asset": "DOGE-USD", "scored": 22061, "hit_rate": 0.5153, "in_range_rate": 0.9668 }, { "asset": "NEAR-USD", "scored": 19205, "hit_rate": 0.5035, "in_range_rate": 0.5651 }, { "asset": "ADA-USD", "scored": 17443, "hit_rate": 0.5056, "in_range_rate": 0.8626 }, { "asset": "XRP-USD", "scored": 3233, "hit_rate": 0.5036, "in_range_rate": 0.9369 }, { "asset": "LTC-USD", "scored": 1342, "hit_rate": 0.4866, "in_range_rate": 0.8897 }, { "asset": "DOT-USD", "scored": 1342, "hit_rate": 0.5097, "in_range_rate": 0.9456 }, { "asset": "LINK-USD", "scored": 1342, "hit_rate": 0.4873, "in_range_rate": 0.9016 }, { "asset": "TRX-USD", "scored": 1341, "hit_rate": 0.487, "in_range_rate": 0.9933 }, { "asset": "AVAX-USD", "scored": 1338, "hit_rate": 0.4656, "in_range_rate": 0.8969 }, { "asset": "ATOM-USD", "scored": 1207, "hit_rate": 0.5153, "in_range_rate": 0.9171 }, { "asset": "BCH-USD", "scored": 1207, "hit_rate": 0.4888, "in_range_rate": 0.8915 }, { "asset": "APT-USD", "scored": 1204, "hit_rate": 0.4718, "in_range_rate": 0.9568 } ], "note": "94655 forecasts scored across non-core assets, using whichever model each asset is currently served by (composite for legacy beta assets e.g. XRP; Kronos-base family for graduated assets DOGE/BNB since 2026-07-10, NEAR since 2026-07-15, and ADA since 2026-07-20 — disclosed together as one family). Preliminary.", "disclaimer": "Non-core asset accuracy under the model CURRENTLY serving each asset (e.g. XRP composite-model beta; DOGE/BNB Kronos-base ML since the 2026-07-10 graduation, NEAR since the 2026-07-15 graduation, ADA since the 2026-07-20 graduation). Includes internal shadow-scoring rows alongside served rows; small samples for some assets. NOT the headline figure and NOT a sold-performance guarantee. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice." }, "prior_composite_accuracy": { "scored": 6433, "hit_rate": 0.4869, "in_range_rate": 0.9378, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "DOGE-USD", "scored": 3217, "hit_rate": 0.4955, "in_range_rate": 0.9935 }, { "asset": "BNB-USD", "scored": 3216, "hit_rate": 0.4782, "in_range_rate": 0.8822 } ], "note": "6433 composite-model forecasts scored for DOGE/BNB prior to the 2026-07-10 Kronos-base graduation. Frozen historical record — these assets no longer generate rows under this model_version.", "disclaimer": "Prior serving model (composite heuristic) for DOGE/BNB before the 2026-07-10 graduation to the Kronos-base model family. Retained for transparency; no longer the model actually serving these endpoints today. Not financial advice." }, "disclosure": "Headline hit_rate is based on cache-served forecasts only (large-sample, repeatable). This model is early-stage; sample sizes are thin — treat all percentages as preliminary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice." }, "per_asset": [ { "asset": "ETH-USD", "scored": 28811, "hit_rate": 0.5264, "in_range_rate": 0.5916 }, { "asset": "SOL-USD", "scored": 28803, "hit_rate": 0.4979, "in_range_rate": 0.59 }, { "asset": "BTC-USD", "scored": 28775, "hit_rate": 0.5231, "in_range_rate": 0.6354 } ], "calibration": { "buckets": [ { "bucket": "[0–0.2]", "predicted_avg": 0.0939, "actual_up_rate": 0.4907, "n": 47174 }, { "bucket": "(0.2–0.4]", "predicted_avg": 0.3062, "actual_up_rate": 0.5057, "n": 35440 }, { "bucket": "(0.4–0.6]", "predicted_avg": 0.5066, "actual_up_rate": 0.5408, "n": 31784 }, { "bucket": "(0.6–0.8]", "predicted_avg": 0.705, "actual_up_rate": 0.5341, "n": 27896 }, { "bucket": "(0.8–1]", "predicted_avg": 0.9021, "actual_up_rate": 0.5263, "n": 20150 } ], "warnings": [ "Calibration bucket (0.2–0.4]: model predicted down (avg=0.3062) but majority of actual outcomes were up (rate=0.5057, n=35440) — INVERTED direction" ], "note": "based on 162444 served forecasts (source: cache or paid); check bucket n values before drawing conclusions" }, "service": { "name": "Kronos Crypto Data API", "asset": "17-asset data coverage (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB/XRP/DOGE/ADA/AVAX/LINK/DOT/LTC/TRX/BCH/ATOM/NEAR/APT/HYPE); ML forecasts for BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD", "price_usd": { "forecast": 0.05, "signals": 0.02 }, "network": "eip155:8453", "payTo": "0x36038e1d712c5e39f35952164ec58ec2b96caee7" }, "generated_at": "2026-11-15T08:53:32.514Z", "disclaimer": "Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Informational only, not financial advice." }